Above-average winter precipitation is expected to drive favorable winter wheat cultivation from September 2026 to January 2027. This follows a period where the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) monitored the effects of fertilizer prices on input access and product expectations in August 2026.

Crisis (IPC Phase 3) food insecurity outcomes are projected to continue in several provinces, including Daykundi, Faryab, Ghor, Badakshan, Nimroz, and Kunar, through at least January 2027. Humanitarian funding, while substantial, remains well below requirements.

Food insecurity persists in multiple provinces, with a significant portion of the population experiencing crisis-level outcomes. The country also hosts a large number of refugees and internally displaced persons.

The specific impact of fertilizer prices on agricultural output and food security beyond August 2026 is not yet covered in recent reporting.