The conflict in Sudan, ongoing since April 2023, has led to significant displacement, with more than 11.4 million people displaced as of July 2026. This includes movements towards Europe, with profiles, routes, and challenges being analyzed. Seasonal precipitation predictions indicate above-normal rainfall across northern and eastern Africa from October to December, consistent with strong El Niño episodes.

The ongoing conflict is characterized by severe civilian harm and reports of conflict-related sexual violence. The anticipated above-normal rainfall could exacerbate existing humanitarian challenges.

Over 11.4 million people have been displaced, including 25 refugees and 65,644 internally displaced persons. New arrivals from Sudan continue to be reported in neighboring countries like Egypt.

Specific details on the impact of the predicted rainfall on humanitarian operations and affected populations are not yet covered in recent reporting.