Rainfall deficits are worsening food insecurity in eastern Chad, particularly in Ouaddaï, Sila, Wadi Fira, and Ennedi Est provinces. These areas are expected to experience Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes until January 2027. Additionally, seasonal precipitation predictions indicate above-normal rainfall across northern and eastern Africa from October to December, consistent with strong El Niño episodes, though specific implications for Chad's food security beyond the eastern regions are not detailed. Humanitarian organizations continue to implement protection, health, and nutrition programs, with UNHCR reporting on achievements in child protection, PSEA, health, nutrition, mental health, and gender-based violence response.

The persistent food insecurity in eastern Chad will continue to place significant strain on vulnerable populations, including refugees who remain heavily reliant on markets and food assistance. The ongoing humanitarian efforts in protection, health, and nutrition are crucial for mitigating the impact of these crises on affected communities. The broader regional rainfall predictions suggest potential for both positive agricultural outcomes in some areas and risks of flooding or other climate-related hazards in others, requiring close monitoring.

Monitor the impact of the predicted above-normal rainfall from October to December on agricultural production and food security across Chad, particularly in areas not currently experiencing deficits. Observe the continued influx of refugees and their reliance on humanitarian assistance and markets in eastern Chad. Track the effectiveness and reach of protection, health, and nutrition programs in addressing the needs of vulnerable populations amidst ongoing crises.

The reports do not provide specific details on the number of people affected by food insecurity or the exact locations of refugee arrivals.